Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.168182 0.191934 0.218389 0.250136 0.287325 0.329662 0.381724
2025-12-21 0.130147 0.161362 0.199635 0.250442 0.316754 0.401248 0.518472
2025-12-28 0.110026 0.144886 0.190754 0.256454 0.349669 0.479523 0.678301
2026-01-04 0.095666 0.132060 0.182699 0.259811 0.376971 0.552846 0.845803
2026-01-11 0.085146 0.122268 0.176408 0.263283 0.403375 0.628054 1.032000
2026-01-18 0.077771 0.115643 0.173242 0.270142 0.435152 0.716588 1.260594
2026-01-25 0.070559 0.108117 0.167347 0.271204 0.456822 0.791430 1.482627
2026-02-01 0.064337 0.101263 0.161423 0.270951 0.475587 0.863978 1.718299
2026-02-08 0.058653 0.094549 0.154765 0.268182 0.488857 0.928132 1.953173
2026-02-15 0.053668 0.088416 0.148280 0.264624 0.499704 0.989130 2.197534
2026-02-22 0.050783 0.085562 0.147159 0.270853 0.530941 1.098996 2.590036
2026-03-01 0.046842 0.080405 0.141234 0.266793 0.539872 1.161292 2.881594
2026-03-08 0.043939 0.076908 0.138125 0.268224 0.561576 1.259397 3.307247
2026-03-15 0.041129 0.073315 0.134453 0.268014 0.579724 1.353597 3.758055
2026-03-22 0.039320 0.071437 0.133911 0.274415 0.614562 1.498761 4.422720
2026-03-29 0.037391 0.069128 0.132231 0.278026 0.643280 1.634937 5.116678
2026-04-05 0.035650 0.067019 0.130717 0.281777 0.673093 1.782066 5.916510
2026-04-12 0.034371 0.065721 0.130763 0.289195 0.714062 1.973389 6.977662
2026-04-19 0.032678 0.063409 0.128367 0.290343 0.738180 2.119742 7.936016
2026-04-26 0.031018 0.061020 0.125555 0.290070 0.758301 2.259238 8.943111
2026-05-03 0.029299 0.058359 0.121870 0.287074 0.769978 2.374044 9.905053
2026-05-10 0.027662 0.055746 0.118047 0.283227 0.778465 2.480674 10.894179
2026-05-17 0.026843 0.054864 0.118168 0.289963 0.821374 2.727081 12.777207